Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.019733 0.021927 0.024120 0.026471 0.028912 0.031369 0.034023
2025-02-16 0.015195 0.018729 0.022402 0.026470 0.030820 0.035307 0.040262
2025-02-23 0.012091 0.016409 0.021054 0.026337 0.032110 0.038168 0.044955
2025-03-02 0.009715 0.014526 0.019875 0.026103 0.033031 0.040403 0.048752
2025-03-09 0.007969 0.013131 0.019055 0.026099 0.034051 0.042606 0.052382
2025-03-16 0.006249 0.011566 0.017889 0.025573 0.034379 0.043955 0.054985
2025-03-23 0.005118 0.010595 0.017323 0.025651 0.035312 0.045904 0.058181
2025-03-30 0.003976 0.009466 0.016475 0.025326 0.035723 0.047220 0.060627
2025-04-06 0.002945 0.008344 0.015547 0.024838 0.035892 0.048217 0.062676
2025-04-13 0.001851 0.006921 0.014128 0.023680 0.035224 0.048219 0.063570
2025-04-20 0.001462 0.006547 0.014049 0.024136 0.036420 0.050317 0.066787
2025-04-27 0.000933 0.005790 0.013394 0.023836 0.036694 0.051335 0.068765
2025-05-04 0.000391 0.004793 0.012395 0.023152 0.036594 0.052034 0.070520
2025-05-11 0.000137 0.004244 0.012016 0.023269 0.037486 0.053917 0.073668
2025-05-18 0.000002 0.003638 0.011488 0.023159 0.038079 0.055434 0.076386
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003046 0.010908 0.022940 0.038509 0.056739 0.078839
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002601 0.010511 0.022936 0.039182 0.058310 0.081579
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002019 0.009785 0.022438 0.039211 0.059100 0.083400
2025-06-15 NaN 0.001699 0.009485 0.022512 0.039941 0.060705 0.086146
2025-06-22 NaN 0.001295 0.008940 0.022204 0.040167 0.061694 0.088164
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000905 0.008314 0.021743 0.040174 0.062403 0.089842
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000448 0.007303 0.020649 0.039331 0.062067 0.090282
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000367 0.007302 0.021079 0.040463 0.064108 0.093490